WWA Papers

Black, M. T., D. J. Karoly.“Southern Australia’s Warmest October on Record: The Role of ENSO and Climate Change”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: S118-S121

Haustein, K., F.E.L. Otto, P. Uhe, N. Schaller, M.R. Allen, L. Hermanson, M. Christidis, P. McLean, H.Cullen. Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs [ERL].

Karoly, D. J., M. T. Black, M. R. Grose, A. D. King. “The Roles of Climate Change and El Niño in the Record Low rainfall in October 2015 in Tasmania, Australia”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: S127-S130

King, Andrew et al. “Barrier reef attribution study”. Arc Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science. 2016.

King, A. D., G. J. van Oldenborgh, D. J. Karoly. “Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Indonesian Heat and Drought”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: S113-S117

Mote, P. W., D. E. Rupp, S. Li, D. J. Sharp, F. Otto, P. F. Uhe, M. Xiao, D. P. Lettenmaier, H. Cullen, and M. R. Allen (2016). Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 10,98010,988, doi: 10.1002/2016GL069965.

Oldenborgh, G. J. van, F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, K. AchutaRao. “The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: 587-591

Otto, F. E. L. “Extreme Events: The Art of Attribution” Nature Climate Change 6 (2016): 342-343. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2971

Otto, F. E. L., G. J. van Oldenborgh, J. Eden, P.A. Stott, D. J. Karoly, M.R. Allen. “The Attribution Question”. Nature Climate Change 6 (2016): 813 – 816. doi:10.1038/nclimate3089

Otto, F. E. L., C. A. S. Coelho, A. King, E. Coughlin de Perez, Y. Wada, G. J. van Oldenborgh, R. Haarsma, K. Hausten, P. Uhe, M. van Aalst, J. A. Aravequia, W. Almeida, H. Cullen. “Factors Other Than Climate Change, Main Drivers of 2014/15 Water Shortage in Southeast Brazil”. BAMS (2015): S1-S6. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.1

Sippel, S., F. E. L. Otto, M. Flach, G. J. van Oldenborgh. “The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: 551-556

Uhe, P., F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, G. J. van Oldenborgh, A. D. King, D. C. H. Wallom, M. R. Allen, and H. Cullen. “Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences,Geophys. Res. Lett.(2016): doi: 10.1002/2016GL069568

van der Wiel, K., Kapnick, S. B., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Whan, K., Philip, S., Vecchi, G. A., Singh, R. K., Arrighi, J., and Cullen, H.: Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 897-921, doi:10.5194/hess-21-897-2017, 2017.

van Oldenborgh, G. J., F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, H. Cullen. “Climate Change increases the probability of heavy rains like those of storm Desmond in the UK- an event attribution study in near- real time” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Discuss. 12, 13197-13216, 2015. doi:10.5194/hessd-12-13197-2015

van Oldenborgh, G. J., S. Philip, E. Aalbers, R. Vautard, F. Otto, K. Haustein, F. Habets, R. Singh, H. Cullen. “Rapid attribution of the May/June 2016 flood-inducing precipitation in France and Germany to climate change” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Discuss. 2016. doi:10.5194/hess-2016-308

Wehner, M., D. Stone, H. Krishnan, K. AchutaRao, F. Castillo. “The Deadly Combination of Heat and Humidity in India and Pakistan in Summer 2015”. Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: 581-586