Foundational Literature

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine report: Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Allen (2003): Liability for climate change. Nature, 421:891-892. Doi:10.1038/ 421891a.

Añel, J.A., López-Moreno, J.I., Otto, F.E.L., Vicente-Serrano, S., Schaller, N., Massey, N., Bindoff, N.L., P.A. Stott, K.M. AchutaRao, M.R. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain, I.I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari and X. Zhang, 2013: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Buisán, S.T. and Allen, M.R. (2014) The extreme snow accumulation in the western Spanish Pyrenees during winter and spring 2013Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95(9).

Hassol, S.J., Torak, S. and Luganda, P. (2016) (Un)Natural disasters: Communicating linkages between extreme events and climate changeWMO Bulletin, 65(2), 3-9.

IPCC, 2012: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp.

Lewis, S. C., D. J. Karoly (2013) Anthropogenic contributions to Australia’s record summer temperatures of 2013, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 3705–3709, doi:10.1002/grl.50673.

Massey, N., Aina, T., Rye, C., Otto, F.E.L., Wilson, S., Jones, R.G. and Allen, M.R. (2012) ‘Have the odds of warm November temperatures and cold December temperatures in central England changed?’ in ‘Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 from a Climate Perspective’.  Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93: 1057-1059.

Massey, N., R. Jones, F.E.L. Otto, T. Aina, S. Wilson, J. Murphy, D. Hassell, Y. Yamazaki and M. Allen (2014) Weather@Home —Development and Validation of a Very Large Ensemble Modeling System for Probabilistic Event Attribution. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. DOI:10.1002/qj.2455.

Otto, F. E. L., Massey, N., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Jones, R. G. and Allen, M. R. (2012): Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422, 2012.

Pall, P., et al., (2011): Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to UK autumn flood risk. Nature, 470, 382–385.

Rupp, D.E., P.W. Mote, N. Massey, F.E.L. Otto, M.R. Allen (2013) Human Influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012 [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, S2-S6, 2013.

Stott, P.A., Stone, D.A., and Allen, M.R. (2004) Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature, 432(7017): 610N614.

Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl (2012), An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment designBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93(4), 485–498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.

van Oldenborgh, G. J. (2007): How unusual was autumn 2006 in Europe?, Clim. Past, 3, 659-668, doi:10.5194/cp-3-659-2007.

van Oldenborgh, G. J., van Urk, A. and Allen, M. R. (2012): The absence of a role of climate change in the 2011 Thailand floods. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 9, 1047–1049, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1.